Spatial model for risk prediction and sub-national prioritization to aid poliovirus eradication in Pakistan
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Spatial model for risk prediction and sub-national prioritization to aid poliovirus eradication in Pakistan
BACKGROUND Pakistan is one of only three countries where poliovirus circulation remains endemic. For the Pakistan Polio Eradication Program, identifying high risk districts is essential to target interventions and allocate limited resources. METHODS Using a hierarchical Bayesian framework we developed a spatial Poisson hurdle model to jointly model the probability of one or more paralytic pol...
متن کاملSupplemental Materials for “Spatial Model for Risk Prediction and Sub-National Prioritization to Aid Poliovirus Eradication in Pakistan” 1. Smoothing of vaccination rate covariates
The expected rate of acute flaccid paralysis (AFP) is 1 in 100,000 children under 5 years of age, thus the sample sizes from each district in a six-month period can be quite small, and range from 0 to 76 in our observation period. Figure 1 shows the in large variability in the observed rate of zero RI dose fraction over time in the Khyber and Quetta districts of Pakistan. It is demographically ...
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BACKGROUND One of the challenges facing the Global Polio Eradication Initiative is efficiently directing limited resources, such as specially trained personnel, community outreach activities, and satellite vaccinator tracking, to the most at-risk areas to maximize the impact of interventions. A validated predictive model of wild poliovirus circulation would greatly inform prioritization efforts...
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Background Nationally representative surveys are vital for gauging progress in health and planning health services. However, often marred with inadequate analysis to provide any guidance to health policy and planning. Most recent Pakistan Demographic and Health Survey (PDHS) 2012-2013 is an inclusive nationally representative investigation. Nonetheless, its published report offers limited evide...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: BMC Medicine
سال: 2017
ISSN: 1741-7015
DOI: 10.1186/s12916-017-0941-2